Fig. 1

Probability estimates reported by radiologists in Experiment 1. The estimated probability of cancer (y-axis) in Experiment 1 plotted against the corresponding theoretically expected probabilities (x-axis) as standard violin plots ((Thrun et al., 2020); also see inset at top right). Conditions in which the CAD system determined the given mammogram to be positive or negative for cancer are plotted in (A, B), respectively. Each violin denotes one condition, i.e., one unique combination of the four probabilistic values provided to the subject. The blue X symbols and line graphically denote the theoretically expected probabilities (also see x-axis labels). See text for additional details