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Fig. 1 | Cognitive Research: Principles and Implications

Fig. 1

From: Does the “surprisingly popular” method yield accurate crowdsourced predictions?

Fig. 1

Relationships between pairs of prediction methods for Study 1 (total sample). Note sp = surprisingly popular; conf = confidence-weighted; mode = democratic; 538 = Fivethirtyeight.com. Correct predictions are labeled as “c,” and incorrect predictions are labeled as “i,” with the top-left square indicating correct predictions from both methods, the bottom-right square indicating incorrect predictions from both methods, the bottom-left square indicating correct predictions from the left-labeled method but not the top-labeled method, and the top-right square indicating correct predictions from the top-labeled method but not the left-labeled method

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